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Analysis shows bird flu virus circulated in cows for four months before outbreak confirmed by USDA

FILE PHOTO: Dairy farmer Brent Pollard's cows stand in their pen at a cattle farm in Rockford, Illinois, U.S., April 9, 2024. REUTERS/Jim Vondruska/File Photo

Unraveling the Mystery of H5N1 Avian Influenza in U.S. Dairy Cattle

In the latest twist of the ongoing saga surrounding the H5N1 avian influenza virus, which has now made its surprising leap into U.S. dairy cattle herds, agricultural authorities and epidemiologists are fervently piecing together the puzzle. They’re relying heavily on the genetic clues left behind by the virus in the animals’ nasal passages, lungs, and notably, their milk.

New Insights from USDA Scientists

Recently, scientists from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) unveiled their preliminary findings in a preprint study—yet to undergo peer review—shedding light on their examination of 220 viral genomes extracted from infected cows. Their research suggests that the spread among cattle originated from a single transmission event from birds in the Texas panhandle, possibly occurring as early as December. However, confirmation of H5N1 in a Texas herd wasn’t made until March 25.

The study’s authors speculate that the virus might have undergone limited local circulation for roughly four months before being officially identified by the USDA.

Enhancing Understanding through Genome Analysis

Delving into viral genomes not only aids in pinpointing the outbreak’s origins but also facilitates tracking the virus’s adaptations as it transitions from its natural avian hosts to bovine ones.

An earlier analysis of USDA genome data, conducted by academic researchers, hinted that the outbreak among dairy cows might have been ongoing for a longer duration than initially thought, potentially spreading more extensively than official records indicated. Presently, 36 herds across nine states have been reported positive for the virus by the USDA.

Evolutionary Shifts in the Virus

The emergence of H5N1 in dairy cows marks a significant development, as it showcases one of the first instances where this avian influenza strain has demonstrated efficient transmission between mammals. Previously, such spillover events into mammals, like foxes, bears, and seals, have typically reached dead ends. Notably, similar transmissions occurred at mink farms in Spain and Finland in 2022 and 2023, respectively.

The USDA’s analysis revealed around two dozen mutations in the H5N1 virus within dairy cattle, some of which are known to enhance its lethality or its potential to infect humans. While these mutations signal ongoing evolution, experts like virologist Thomas Mettenleiter emphasize the need for caution.

Assessment of Human Health Risks

According to Vivien Dugan, director of the influenza division at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the identified mutations so far don’t immediately raise alarms regarding heightened risks to human health. She mentioned that ongoing testing of existing H5 vaccines in ferrets has shown promising results, suggesting cross-protection against the virus strain detected in Texas.

The collaborative efforts between USDA scientists, academic researchers, and health agencies remain crucial in unraveling the complexities of this evolving situation and safeguarding both animal and human health.

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